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Original-Research: Rubean AG - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to Rubean AG

Company Name: Rubean AG

ISIN: DE0005120802

Reason for the research: Update

Recommendation: BUY

from: 18.07.2024

Target price: EUR 8.50

Last rating change:

Analyst: Frederik Jarchow

H1 turnover up by 370% yoy // FY23 figures out; chg

Topic: Rubean published an H1 trading statement that showed ongoing dynamic

topline growth. Further, the company published final FY23, in line with

estimates. Lastly, Rubean announced that Commerz Globalpay went live with

RubeanŽs SoftPOS solution in Germany. In detail:

Final FY23 figures in line with estimates. Sales came in at EUR 1.0m (21%

yoy) and EBIT at EUR -3.8m (vs FY22: EUR -4.0m) both in line with our estimates

(eNuW: EUR 1.0m sales; EUR -3.6m EBIT). Lower personnel expenses (-12% yoy; EUR

2.9m vs eNuW: EUR 3.2m) partially compensating for slightly higher other OpEx

of EUR1.3m (16% yoy) and material expenses of EUR 0.4m (58% yoy). Still, the

negative net income of EUR -3.9m resulted in a deficit uncovered by the

equity of EUR 3.8m, thus requiring a strong FY24 .

Strong H1Ž24 with dynamic sequential improvements. With a turnover of EUR

c.839k in H1 (370% yoy), after EUR 493k in Q1 (incl. a EUR 250-300k one-off,

eNuW), Rubean kicked off the year really strong. The growth was mainly

driven by the newly won partners that are starting to materialize. Still,

the product rollout and thus the sales ramp-up was slower than initially

expected (eNuW: EUR 1.2m in H1Ž24).

Yet, the product roll-out remains in full swing despite minor delays.

Rubean has signed a whole series of important strategic partnerships within

a short period of time (i.e. SEUR, Global Payments, Correos, emerchantpay),

that all show very clearly that RubeanŽs leading softPOS product is ready

and that the roll-out is in full swing. The go-live of Commerz Globalpay

(joint veture between Global Payments and Commerzbank) with RubeanŽs

Soft-POS solution underlines this once more. Consequently, management still

expects for FY24 to grow sales by 135% at mid-point to EUR 2.2-2.5m. On the

back of the recently announced cooperations, paired with further likely

customer wins, we consider this as achievable, but reduce our estimates to

EUR 2.5m in order to reflect certain delays which resulted in a softer than

anticipated H1Ž24.

Nevertheless, we see Rubean at the forefront of the rapidly growing market

for mobile payment acceptance systems and hence expect the company to

achieve profitability within FY25 but consider managements mid-term vision

of EUR 10+m in sales and 40+% EBIT-margin by FY27 as ambitious.

BUY with a reduced PT of EUR 8.50 (old: EUR 9.00), based on our DCF.

You can download the research here:

http://www.more-ir.de/d/30237.pdf

For additional information visit our website

www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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The result of this research does not constitute investment advice

or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.

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