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Original-Research: q.beyond AG - von NuWays AG

Einstufung von NuWays AG zu q.beyond AG

Unternehmen: q.beyond AG

ISIN: DE0005137004

Anlass der Studie: Update

Empfehlung: BUY

seit: 25.01.2024

Kursziel: 1.00

Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten

Letzte Ratingänderung:

Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

One q.beyond to drive margins in 2024e

In light of the ongoing restructuring process as well as macro-headwinds,

we observed a rather uninspiring operating performance, especially on the

bottom-line, as of 9M '23. Despite that, q.beyond is seen to achieve its FY

'23 guidance: EUR185-191m sales, EUR 5-7m EBITDA and > EUR -4m FCF. While the

lower end of the sales guidance should be reached (eNuW: EUR 186m) and FCF

generation should even be positive (eNuW: EUR 1.4m), meeting the EBITDA

outlook (eNuW: EUR 5.1m) still depends on a decision by the tax authorities

concerning the Plusnet sale in 2019. The group's operating EBITDA looks set

to come in at only EUR 0.3m (eNuW).

That said, the company is seen to publish preliminary FY figures in early

March, (final: March 30th) as well as an initial FY '24 guidance. As

management aims to reap the fruits of the imposed efficiency measures in

connection with the 2025 Strategy, investors should expect an outlook,

targeting sales growth in the mid-to-high-single-digit range (eNuW: +7%;

eCons: +5.4%), positive FCF generation (eNuW: EUR 5.3m; eCons: EUR 3.7m) as

well as EBITDA of EUR 6-9m (eNuW: EUR 6.1m; eCons: EUR 8.1m).

As a reminder, with the 2025 Strategy, management set itself three

strategic priorities: (1) Ongoing focus on key verticals (retail, logistics

& manufacturing) coupled with an expansion of the consulting and

development business, (2) effective go-to-market with an increased emphasis

on the indirect sales channels (35% of Q3 order intake) as well as (3) the

continuous implementation of One q.beyond, which is the company's current

efficiency program. Here, the focus is on streamlined processes via the

elimination of duplicate structures, an optimized order-to-cash process and

an increased near-/offshoring share (target: >20% vs c. 10% currently).

While some of those measures, such as the improved receivables management,

already took effect (improved FCF guidance (old: > EUR 8m), the

implementation of One q.beyond is seen to fully unfold from 2024e onwards,

thus allowing for expanding margins.

We hence turn cautiously optimistic but keep our PT unchanged at EUR 1.00.

While the stock should have downside protection thanks to the EUR 37m net

cash position as well as a land plot in Hamburg (EUR 17m book value), an

upbeat FY guidance in March as well as a strong start into the year (Q1 to

be released on May 8th) could serve as re-rating catalysts. Remains a BUY.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:

http://www.more-ir.de/d/28751.pdf

Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden

www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Kontakt für Rückfragen

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------

Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.

Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung

oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

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