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Original-Research: Flughafen Wien AG - from NuWays AG
30.10.2024 / 09:02 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS
Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The
result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an
invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
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Classification of NuWays AG to Flughafen Wien AG
Company Name: Flughafen Wien AG
ISIN: AT00000VIE62
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Hold
from: 30.10.2024
Target price: EUR 61.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Q3 preview: strong growth and margins at cruising altitude
FWAG releases Q3 results on 14th November, which should mark not only new
top- and bottom-line records, but should also show an increase in net
liquidty thanks to solid cash generation despite the current CAPEX cycle.
Sales should come in strong at EUR 306m, +13% yoy, eCons: EUR 305m (9M: EUR 794m,
+14% yoy) thanks to vivid passenger volumes (Q3: +8% yoy; 9M: +9% yoy)
coupled with higher airport charges (+9.7% yoy as of Jan. 2024). Mind you,
Q3 is seasonally the most important quarter, accounting for c. 30% of FY
revenues and c. 38% of FY EBITDA (both eNuW).
EBITDA should increase by 3% yoy to EUR 160m (eCons: EUR 165m; 9M: EUR 365m) but
with an EBITDA margin of 52% below last year (-5pp yoy) due to higher
expected OPEX of EUR 146m (+23% yoy). The OPEX rise should mainly be driven by
an increase in personell expenses (eNuW: EUR 101m, +28% yoy), as an effect of
a higher headcount (eNuW: +8% yoy) and the rise in collective bargaining
agreements (+ 7% wage increase) and a higher rate of overtime hours during
the busy season. On an absolute level however, EBITDA should thus mark a new
record and it shows that the company currently operates well within a
healthy margin corridor of 40-45% on a FY basis (eNuW: 41% for FY'24e).
FCF is seen at EUR 42m (eNuW; 9Me: EUR 140m) composed of a stellar CFO of EUR 117m
(eNuW; 9Me: EUR 295m) and CAPEX of around EUR 75m (+135% yoy; 9Me: EUR 155m; eNuW)
driven by the current southern expansion of Terminal 3. Consequently, we
expect net liquidity to rise further and amount to EUR 391m by 9M'24e. To
remind you, the cash build-up should continue until a final decision on the
3rd runway has been made (see update from 9th October 2024), which we regard
as a pivotal decision for FWAG's future.
Moreover, FWAG publishes Oct'24 traffic results on 14thNovember, where we
expect a continuation of strong demand meeting rising supply. Thus, we
expect 3.8m passengers on group level (+6% yoy; 105% of 2019 levels).
Albeit the company continues to operate well, we reiterate our HOLD
recommendation, as we regard the stock as fairly valued, which only shows a
mere 16% upside to our PT of EUR 61.00 (based on DCF).
You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31149.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research
Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss
bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben
analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2018633 30.10.2024 CET/CEST
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