ROHÖL WTI WKN: 792451 ISIN: XC0007924514 Forum: Rohstoffe Thema: Hauptdiskussion

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/EIA-Oil-Prices-Will-Not-Rally-Despite-Saudi-Output-Cut.html

Immer das Gegenteil machen, von dem man hört.

Soso, Nachfrageerhöhung aber Kursrückgang prognostiziert. 😂 Zeit für Ultra Long 😎

Early on Wednesday, Brent Crude prices traded just below $76 per barrel as the Saudi cut failed to lift prices with the market focused more on the economic slowdown instead of expectations of a tighter market further out this year. Oil consumption will rise by 1.6 million bpd this year, and by another 1.7 million bpd next year, the EIA said, but noted that “Significant uncertainty remains around global economic growth and the potential impact on oil demand over the forecast period.” The EIA also revised down its estimates for the U.S. economy and diesel consumption for this year and next.

Oil inventories will drop slightly next year, compared to last month’s STEO that forecast inventory growth of 300,000 bpd for 2024. This, the U.S. administration says, will put gradual pressure on oil prices. But oil is not expected to rally, and Brent Crude prices will average $79 per barrel in the second half of 2023, which is $1 a barrel higher than in May’s STEO estimate. The 2024 oil price forecast was raised to an average of $84 per barrel, up by $9 per barrel compared to last month’s assessment.

Despite the Saudi cut and the extension of the current OPEC+ cuts through 2024, the EIA expects non-OPEC producers to drive global liquids production to growth of 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023 and 1.3 million bpd in 2024, limiting the upside for oil prices. Production growth in the United States, Norway, Canada, Brazil, and Guyana will be the primary drivers of the increase in global liquids output. The cuts, however, will result in draws in global oil inventories in each quarter between the third quarter of 2023 and the third quarter of 2024, the EIA reckons.

Oil prices will not average more than $80 per barrel in the second half of this year, despite the most recent production cut announced by Saudi Arabia, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) released this week. At Sunday’s meeting, OPEC+ producers decided to extend their crude oil production cuts through 2024, while Saudi Arabia said it would voluntarily reduce its production by 1 million bpd in July to around 9 million bpd. The Saudi cut could be extended beyond July, Saudi Energy Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, said.

14260 wir kommen 😀

Ich habe nichts erkannt 😄

Ich frage mich ob man das heute Vormittag am Chart hätte erkennen können (Stichwort: Chancen/Risiko), dass es so stark hoch geht?

Geknackt

Schade, die 73.00 ist wirklich eine harte Nuss bis gerade 😕.

So Game Over für mich heute 😊

Puhh, gerade haarscharf dran vorbei 😋

Hab den Trailing-Stop für die beiden Positionen auf 72.62 gesetzt... Es bleibt spannend. Die 73.00 steht gerade im Fokus 👀👀👀 🤭

Mal sehen, ob was draus wird. Da WTI eine 🐐 ist - wie wir dank @Jim175 heute gelernt haben-, kann sich das Blatt auch wieder sehr schnell wenden 🤷‍♀️... Vlt. sollte ich aber auch ein Frauengespräch mit ihr führen, dass sie demnächst das rumgezicke unterlässt und sich ein Beispiel an den NASDAQ nimmt 🤔.