LYNAS WKN: 871899 ISIN: AU000000LYC6 Kürzel: LYC Forum: Aktien Thema: Hauptdiskussion

https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ndpr-price.5946726/page-43#post-75359936 Und Artikel vom Februar https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/rare-earths-prices-seen-rebounding-second-half-2024-analysts-2024-02-05/

Über HotCopper "The price in China of praseodymium oxide, one of the most widely used rare earth elements, fell 34% in 2023, while terbium oxide and neodymium oxide tumbled to their lowest levels since late 2020 last month, Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) data showed. However, further downside for rare earths is likely to be limited as prices, particularly for neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide, used in permanent magnets, fell 38% last year and are near the production cost level, said SMM analyst Yang Jiawen. "NdPr oxide is likely to see an 800-metric-ton deficit globally in 2024, flipping from last year's 6,600-ton surplus, Guolian Securities wrote last month. "We expect extra supply to be more or less cleared by end-2024, as demand catches up with supply through continually increasing electric vehicle sales and wind turbine production," said analyst Willis Thomas at CRU Group." All is going according to plan, lol. The increasing NEVs (BEVs plus PHEVs) and wind turbines are mostly being built in China at the moment and that ramping may not materialize in an orderly fashion. SO now all shorters have multiple catalysts to worry about. And while they were undoubtedly relieved to see the Apr REE price spike get turned away (drove some to frenzied short-selling I imagine), something similar is happening again now, and it is happening as multiple analysts thought likely. Another April-like REE price spike of 14% on top of the current moderated up-move could easily create a similar stock price up-move. All but a few shorters are currently underwater and current losses could easily get locked in as we approach 2025 when many things will come together for Lynas. Shorters need to buy back 100+ million shares where typical trading volume is just 3 million. The pressure is building. If they don't get any hopeful signs (REE or LYC stock price drop, significant renewed Chinese market concerns, etc), I am just going to become more hopeful.

Iluka is pressing for more government support for its ‘critical’ rare earths project Iluka Resources has warned its $1.8bn Eneabba mineral sands refinery, which it says is critical to national security, needs more government support to get over the line. https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/iluka-is-pressing-for-more-government-support-for-its-critical-rare-earths-project/news-story/670ad228f31982b97056b47126935b4d?amp&nk=12af2674160fc5974a42b11f4d90ac3f-1724270432 Bekommen die das Geld nicht zusammen, dann wäre Lynas weiter der einzige EX China Lieferant entsprechender Größe. Arafura hat auch noch keine FID bekanntgegeben.

Iluka looking for more taxpayer cash for REE refinery Big cost blow-out at refinery project sees mineral sands miner put its hand out for more https://www.mining-journal.com/miners/news-analysis/4348912/iluka-looking-taxpayer-cash-ree-refinery Das ist die Vermutung die man über Hot Copper lesen kann. Man ist sich aber nicht sicher. Könnten auch andere Dinge gewesen sein. Z.b. die Antimon Sache und die Angst es könnte weiter Seltene Erden treffen.

Sieht nach Charttechnik aus. Flagge wurde verlassen. Die News helfen Lynas inwieweit?

Bis jetzt 7% hoch - ist mal gut sag ich

Iluka weighs rare earths expansion as profit slides https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/iluka-weighs-rare-earths-expansion-234508334.html Sieht so aus als hätte das heute den Aktienkurs beflügelt

The Top Companies Behind the Rare Earth Industry https://wirescreen.ai/blog/rare-earth

Rest Super and Aware Super tight lipped on Liontown Resources and Lynas Rare Earths short selling https://www.removepaywall.com/search?url=https://thewest.com.au/business/mining/rest-super-and-aware-super-tight-lipped-on-liontown-resources-and-lynas-rare-earths-short-selling-c-15516198#google_vignette

Die Short Quote von Lynas - 10,65% https://x.com/travmoneyofmine/status/1822589339257430080?s=46&t=CND_DF6ErYtM-d_GnIoKqA

Inside Billionaire Gina Rinehart's Key Mining Investments Rinehart’s investment in MP Materials could later bring in “Roy Hill-type cash flow,” Dylan Kelly, head analyst at Terra Capital, told Australian Financial Review. “Anything that is producing and not China-aligned is highly strategic. These materials are very, very hard to make and there’s a lot of demand in making magnets for electric vehicles and wind turbines." One week later, Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting also took up a 5.82 percent interest in Lynas Rare Earths, the largest ex-China rare earths producer. The Australian rare earths miner produces the critical metals at its Mount Weld mine in Western Australia and ships the raw material to Malaysia for processing. Lynas is also ramping up processing at its Kalgoorlie rare earth processing facility in Australia, and building light rare earths processing facilities and a heavy rare earths separation facility in Texas, US. https://investingnews.com/gina-rinehart-hancock-mining-investments/

Challenger LTD. Hat von 6.07 auf 7.19% Voting Power erhöht. Die großen erhöhen alle ihre Anteile eigentlich ein gutes Zeichen. https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-change-in-substantial-holding-from-cgf.8141133/

Commodities Analysis and ASX Mining Stocks with Peter Chilton https://youtu.be/NBA6ZbUJ83U?si=h6oAcI6noDdJfwYR Ab ca. Minute 9 geht es um Lynas und Arafura

AustralienSuper Sie erhöhen weiter! Von 7,4 auf 8,5% https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-change-in-substantial-holding.8139453/

Ergo - es ist weiterhin Korrektur, am unteren Trendkanal kann man einsammeln und am oberen verkaufen. Recht sicheres Zubrot

Former deputy PM advocates for stronger support of Australia’s rare earth industry https://smallcaps.com.au/former-deputy-pm-stronger-support-australia-rare-earth-industry/