DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

Folgenschwere Normalisierung der US-Zinskurve: Die Inversion der US-Renditekurve löst sich rapide auf. Das droht erhebliche Belastungen für Emittenten von Unternehmensanleihen sowie Hypothekenschuldner und damit die Gesamtkonjunktur nach sich zu ziehen. https://www.boersen-zeitung.de/meinung-analyse/folgenschwere-normalisierung-der-us-zinskurve

Commercial Real Estate Looms As A Massive Market Risk https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-12-16/commercial-real-estate-looms-massive-market-risk

400 Days Until $40 Trillion In Debt https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/400-days-until-40-trillion-debt-michael-hartnetts-2025-playbook

Op Risk Benchmarking 2024: the banks - As threats grow and regulators bore down, focus shifts to the first line https://www.risk.net/op-risk-benchmarking/7960534/op-risk-benchmarking-2024-the-banks

Dollar Stores Are Flashing a Warning Sign About Lower-Income Consumers https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/dollar-store-economic-outlook-1e1d9f9f

Janet Yellen "Sorry" After Presiding Over $15 Trillion Increase In US Debt https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/janet-yellen-sorry-after-presiding-over-15-trillion-increase-us-debt

Große Geldmanager werden zum Risiko https://www.boersen-zeitung.de/meinung-analyse/grosse-geldmanager-werden-zum-risiko

Industrie-Rezession: Deutsche Bank will Kreditrisiken loswerden. Auslagerung von Ausfallrisiken an Investoren https://finanzmarktwelt.de/industrie-rezession-deutsche-bank-will-kreditrisiken-loswerden-332510/

Goldman chalks up highest VAR breach since pandemic: Goldman Sachs recorded two value-at-risk breaches in the third quarter, including a loss equivalent to 258% of its modelled estimate – the most since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. This was five times the largest daily loss-to-VAR ratio recorded by the bank in the previous three months, and only slightly below the record 266% set in Q1 2020. https://www.risk.net/risk-quantum/7960483/goldman-chalks-up-highest-var-breach-since-pandemic

"Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys." - P.J. O’Rourke - December 12 at 2 p.m. EST, CBO Report: Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2025 to 2034 https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#4

CBO Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034: In CBO’s projections, the deficit totals nearly $2 trillion this year. Large deficits push federal debt held by the public to 122 percent of GDP in 2034. Economic growth slows to 2.0 percent in 2024 and 1.8 percent in 2026 and later years. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/60419

US budget deficit jumps to $367 billion in November on calendar payment shifts. The U.S. government posted a $367 billion budget deficit for November, up 17% from a year earlier https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-budget-deficit-jumps-367-billion-november-calendar-payment-shifts-2024-12-11/

Economic Watch: Bitcoin frenzy highlights U.S. systemic risks https://english.news.cn/20241207/c9dbc7ddedbd4833a27767fea9e68915/c.html

‘The mother of all bubbles’ in the U.S. is sucking money away from the rest of the world. U.S. companies now account for 70% of the leading global stock index, up from 30% in the 1980s, while the U.S. economy's share of global GDP is just 27%. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mother-bubbles-us-sucking-money-215345592.html

Immobilien: Wie sich Versorgungswerke und Pensionskassen verzockt haben Institutionelle Investoren aus Deutschland haben in den Boom-Jahren Milliarden in riskante Immobilienfinanzierungen gesteckt https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/immobilien/immobilien-wie-sich-versorgungswerke-und-pensionskassen-verzockt-haben-02/100090898.html

Fannie Mae has blacklisted at least 2 more mortgage brokerages