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DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

42.093,06 PKT
+0,64 %+266,48
5. Nov, 17:46:29 Uhr, Ariva Indikation
Kommentare 32.887
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 20:56 Uhr
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https://www.hamiltonproject.org/assets/files/Sahm_web_20190506.pdf

https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/series?seid=SAHMREALTIME
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 20:48 Uhr
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Wenn jetzt selbst schon Soros aus den US Banken wie der NYCB aussteigt und Mr. Big Short Michael Burry in Gold flüchtet ...
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 20:33 Uhr
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Was soll schon schiefehen? Mit Vollgas an die Schuldenwand: The Missing Piece Of The Puzzle: Behind The Inexplicable "Strength" Of US Consumers Is $700 Billion In "Phanton Debt". amount of credit card debt across the US has hit a new record high of $1.337 trillion. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/missing-puzzle-piece-revealed-behind-inexplicable-strength-us-consumers-700-billion-phanton

Overdue Bills Are Rising with U.S. Debt Delinquencies, Fed Survey Shows https://www.abi.org/newsroom/bankruptcy-headlines/overdue-bills-are-rising-with-us-debt-delinquencies-fed-survey-shows
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 20:31 Uhr
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NYCBs Chief Operating Officer tritt zurück https://www.boersennews.de/community/diskussion/new-york-community-bancorp/14323/87933187/

American Bankruptcy Institute: NYCB fällt, da die Rentabilität nach dem Verkauf eines Kredits in Höhe von 5 Milliarden US-Dollar in den Fokus rückt https://www.abi.org/newsroom/bankruptcy-headlines/nycb-falls-as-profitability-comes-into-focus-after-5-billion-loan-sale
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 19:57 Uhr
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ECB Financial Stability Review: Lax fiscal policies may reinforce public debt sustainability concerns https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/html/ecb.fsr202405~7f212449c8.en.html#toc5
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 18:38 Uhr
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Ich bin Clo Manager ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERA6k2uXtsw&t=125s
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 18:30 Uhr
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Arbor Realty Trust is a national direct lender that provides debt capital for the multifamily loan and commercial real estate industries. Viceroy Research Report: Viceroy’s investigations have discovered an elaborate and intentional con, where Arbor has financed purchases of assets from its own foreclosures, with Arbor loans, via off-balance sheet entities run by former Arbor associates, and entirely financed with Arbor equity capital. https://viceroyresearch.org/2024/05/09/arbor-realty-trust-fraud/

Der Griff ins Wallstreet "Clo" - rinse and repeat : Drohendes Risiko für das Finanzsystem - 1 Billion US-Dollar an gewerblichen Kreditpools. Die Fähigkeit der Wall Street, eine riesige Schuldenverpackungsmaschine zu betreiben, hat die große Krise jedoch überstanden, und jetzt müssen wir uns um besicherte Kreditverpflichtungen oder CLOs, Körbe mit Unternehmensschulden, Sorgen machen. https://www.boersennews.de/community/diskussion/arbor-realty/14290/87962074/
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 18:21 Uhr
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S&P Global Ratings: The Great Rate Games - In our pessimistic scenario, we forecast the default rate could rise to 6.25%. In this scenario, economic growth would slow to a crawl or enter recession. While we anticipate core inflation to fall this year, this has taken longer than it did for inflation to rise, keeping the Federal Reserve from lowering policy rates any time soon. Given persistent inflation, higher interest rates are clearly here to stay for a while. Markets started the year expecting six rate cuts by the Fed, but as time has passed, that has dwindled to two. For speculative-grade issuers, floating-rate benchmarks and market yields tend to follow policy rates very closely, but fixed-rate bond yields were arguably falling ahead of expected cuts. Current market yields could either remain in place or rise to recalibrate to now higher-for-longer policy rates. https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/240515-default-transition-and-recovery-resilient-growth-resilient-yields-and-resilient-defaults-to-bring-the-u-13106413

https://www.spglobal.com/_assets/images/ratings/research/3175010_15548319.svg
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 18:21 Uhr
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S&P Global Ratings: The Great Rate Games - In our pessimistic scenario, we forecast the default rate could rise to 6.25%. In this scenario, economic growth would slow to a crawl or enter recession. While we anticipate core inflation to fall this year, this has taken longer than it did for inflation to rise, keeping the Federal Reserve from lowering policy rates any time soon. Given persistent inflation, higher interest rates are clearly here to stay for a while. Markets started the year expecting six rate cuts by the Fed, but as time has passed, that has dwindled to two. For speculative-grade issuers, floating-rate benchmarks and market yields tend to follow policy rates very closely, but fixed-rate bond yields were arguably falling ahead of expected cuts. Current market yields could either remain in place or rise to recalibrate to now higher-for-longer policy rates. https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/240515-default-transition-and-recovery-resilient-growth-resilient-yields-and-resilient-defaults-to-bring-the-u-13106413
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 17:28 Uhr
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Mortgage Rates Are Back Above 7% https://www.wsj.com/buyside/personal-finance/will-mortgage-rates-go-down-in-2024-predictions-16fffcaa
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 16:53 Uhr
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On the run: These Investors Are Shunning CRE - A lot of big global investment fund managers have cut their CRE allocations. There’s a huge distressed cycle ahead of us.” https://www.globest.com/2024/05/17/these-investors-are-shunning-cre/
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 16:52 Uhr
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Bank of America to Buy $3.2 Billion of CRE Loans From WaFd Bank
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 12:32 Uhr
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Roaring Kitty verpfändet und verzockt jetzt sein Haus: Das Problem für die Wall Street besteht darin, dass Eigenheimbesitzer nach Jahren steigender Eigenheimpreise angeblich über 11 Billionen US-Dollar an „abgreifbarem“ Eigenheimkapital verfügen. Eigenheimkapital ist ein theoretischer Wert, den Sie nur in Bargeld umwandeln können, indem Sie Kredite aufnehmen und dabei Wall-Street-Zinsen und -Gebühren zahlen, um an Ihr eigenes Geld zu kommen. Der Hausbesitzer kann das Geld nun für andere Dinge verwenden, es auf Kryptos setzen, über Nacht zum "Roaring Kitty" Gamestop Milliardär werden, Staatsanleihen kaufen, um 5,3 % Zinsen zu verdienen oder es auf andere Weise zu verzocken. https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/12/its-funny-how-wall-street-tries-so-hard-to-get-homeowners-to-pay-interest-fees-on-their-own-money/

Ground Control to Major Tom, you're off your course, direction's wrong. https://en.macromicro.me/charts/415/us-margin-debt
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 11:32 Uhr
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Wir nähern uns den Sahm Rezessionstrigger von 0.5 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

https://www.hamiltonproject.org/assets/files/Sahm_web_20190506.pdf
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 11:32 Uhr
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Wir nähern uns den Sahm Rezessionstrigger von 0.5 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
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SousSherpa, 17.05.2024 9:01 Uhr
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Higher-for-longer: Fed Officials Suggest Interest Rates Should Stay High for Longer: Mester, Williams and Barkin say taking longer to cool prices https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-16/fed-s-mester-suggests-interest-rates-should-stay-high-for-longer
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