DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

Für die vergangenen 170 Jahre gilt demnach: Wenn die Renditen kurzfristiger US-Bonds in einem Zeitraum von zwölf Monaten um 1,5 Prozentpunkte oder in 24 Monaten um 2,5 Prozentpunkte gestiegen N sind, dann trat in den folgenden 36 Monaten mit einer Wahrscheinlichkeit von gut 70 Prozent eine Rezession ein.

Could it Be the Fed’s Mega-QE Created so Much Liquidity that Tightening Doesn’t Work until this Excess Gets Burned Up? Financial Conditions loosen further: credit markets blow off the Fed https://wolfstreet.com/2023/11/10/could-it-be-that-the-feds-mega-qe-created-so-much-liquidity-that-tightening-doesnt-work-until-this-excess-liquidity-gets-burned-up/

Das große Beben: Die Staatsanleihen der USA gelten als die sicherste Finanzanlage. Doch immer mehr Investoren zweifeln an ihnen. Droht eine neue Wirtschaftskrise? https://www.zeit.de/2023/46/us-staatsanleihen-aktienmarkt-risiko-wirtschaftskrise

BlackRock cut its interest rate swaptions exposure by 46% in the second quarter of the year to $14 billion notional amid a wider retreat from the instrument by mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. https://www.risk.net/derivatives/7958214/blackrock-pimco-slash-mutual-fund-swaptions-books

Credit-Rating Downgrades Suggest Problems for the US Banking Sector Are Far from Over https://internationalbanker.com/banking/credit-rating-downgrades-suggest-problems-for-the-us-banking-sector-are-far-from-over/

Scope Ratings GmbH accepted as a new external credit assessment institution https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.pr231110~1509d7cb6b.en.html

Bank Loan Volumes Plunge Despite Huge Deposit Inflows, Fed Rescue Fund Usage Surges To New Record High https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bank-loan-volumes-plunge-despite-huge-deposit-inflows-fed-rescue-fund-usage-surges-new

Moody's analyst sees polarization around US budget issues persisting next year https://www.reuters.com/world/us/moodys-analyst-sees-polarization-around-us-budget-issues-persisting-next-year-2023-11-11/

Moody's changes US ratings outlook to negative https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-changes-outlook-on-United-States-ratings-to-negative-affirms--PR_480815

Moody's changes US ratings outlook to negative: The rating agency said it expects United States' fiscal deficits will remain very large, significantly weakening debt affordability. https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/view-moodys-changes-us-ratings-outlook-negative-affirms-aaa-2023-11-10/

https://youtu.be/n1XQHh-ixEA?si=hTDsYMYpubkzO383

As Bad Debts Soar, Canadian Banks Eye Asset Sales to Boost Capital: As Canada's economy enters a period of sluggish growth, the big banks are looking to fortify their balance sheets against rising bad debts, but instead of tapping shareholders for funds, the lenders are expected to sell non-core assets and cap dividends, fund managers and analysts said https://globalinsolvency.com/headlines/bad-debts-soar-canadian-banks-eye-asset-sales-boost-capital