DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

Arbor Realty Trust is a national direct lender that provides debt capital for the multifamily loan and commercial real estate industries. Viceroy Research Report: Viceroy’s investigations have discovered an elaborate and intentional con, where Arbor has financed purchases of assets from its own foreclosures, with Arbor loans, via off-balance sheet entities run by former Arbor associates, and entirely financed with Arbor equity capital. https://viceroyresearch.org/2024/05/09/arbor-realty-trust-fraud/

Global debt-to-GDP ratio resumes upward trajectory. ‘Poor public finances’ are showing up in debt ratio statistics https://www.thebanker.com/Global-debt-to-GDP-ratio-resumes-upward-trajectory-after-consistent-decline-in-2023-1715332058

FSOC Report on Nonbank Mortgage Servicing 2024 https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/261/FSOC-2024-Nonbank-Mortgage-Servicing-Report.pdf

Inflation “settling” high could pose new risks for the Fed, economy https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/inflation-settling-high-could-pose-new-risks-for-the-fed-economy/

PIMCO adds bond exposure outside the US on inflation risks: U.S. bond giant PIMCO is increasing its bond exposure in developed markets outside the United States as inflation could complicate the shift of the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/pimco-adds-bond-exposure-outside-us-inflation-risks-2024-05-08/

ECB’s Nagel Says Structural Forces Could Keep Inflation Higher: “A range of potential factors could lead to higher inflationary pressure in the future” https://globalinsolvency.com/headlines/ecbs-nagel-says-structural-forces-could-keep-inflation-higher

Fed Fund Rates Expectations: even less cuts than FED dot plot in 2024 https://www.isabelnet.com/fed-funds-rate-expectations/

Suprise, surprise! Nein, das ist wirklich keine große Überraschung: Goldman Sachs Economic Suprise Index https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-economic-suprise-index/

Was soll schon schiefehen? Mit Vollgas an die Schuldenwand: The Missing Piece Of The Puzzle: Behind The Inexplicable "Strength" Of US Consumers Is $700 Billion In "Phanton Debt". amount of credit card debt across the US has hit a new record high of $1.337 trillion. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/missing-puzzle-piece-revealed-behind-inexplicable-strength-us-consumers-700-billion-phanton

whoo! All-in and more: Margin Debt up to moon! https://en.macromicro.me/charts/415/us-margin-debt

JPMorgan warnt vor übertriebenen Erwartungen an S&P 500-EPS im Jahr 2024. Ihre Schlussfolgerungen sind deutlich: Ein nominelles BIP-Wachstum von 13 % wäre erforderlich, um Schritt zu halten mit einem Umsatzwachstum des S&P 500 von 17 % https://de.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/jpmorgan-warnt-vor-ubertriebenen-erwartungen-an-sp-500eps-im-jahr-2024-2614039

„Die Rolle der Schiffstransportkosten als Treiber der globalen Inflation wird unterschätzt. Schocks bei den Transportkosten können Zentralbanken, die mit der Gewährleistung der Preisstabilität beauftragt sind, auf bevorstehende Gefahren aufmerksam machen und ihnen helfen, sie zu reduzieren das Risiko, erneut ins Hintertreffen zu geraten.“ https://www.tbsnews.net/bloomberg-special/shipping-cost-drop-smoking-gun-foretelling-inflation-cool-573806

More than a tenth of all US commercial banks meet concentration thresholds in commercial real estate (CRE). US supervisors face operational challenge with constellation of 536 lenders above risk benchmarks https://www.risk.net/risk-quantum/7959332/one-tenth-of-us-banks-exceed-cre-concentration-thresholds

Hoped-for US rate cuts morph into fear of another hike https://epfr.com/insights/global-navigator/hoped-for-us-rate-cuts-morph-into-fear-of-another-hike-equity-fund-flows-money-market-fund-flows-bond-flows-esg-fund-flows-financial-markets-data-investor-sentiment/

US-Regionalbanken in schwerem Unwetter: Amerikas kleine und mittelgroße Geldhäuser leiden auch ein Jahr nach dem Kollaps der First Republic Bank unter hohen Zinsniveaus. Durch die Gewerbeimmobilienkrise rollen noch erhebliche Belastungen auf den Sektor zu. https://www.boersen-zeitung.de/meinung-analyse/us-regionalbanken-in-schwerem-unwetter